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For those that say Poker has jumped the shark...

From Yahoo, the 12th most popular 'how-to' search:



Hot How-To's - Yahoo! Buzz Log



1. How to Tie a Tie

2. How to Write a Resume

3. How to Draw

4. How to Lose Weight

5. How to Get Pregnant

6. How to Kiss

7. How to Draw Anime

8. How to Gain Weight

9. How to Make Money

10. How to Play Guitar

11. How to Write a Bibliography

12. How to Play Poker

13. How to Write a Cover Letter

14. How to Dance

15. How to Start a Business

16. How to Levitate

17. How to Build a Deck

18. How to Make Coffee

19. How to Write a Book

20. How to Flirt



Let's see... more people are need to learn how to play poker than need to learn how to write cover letters, dance, or... levitate?



Makes me feel good that after all the books, TV shows, and BLOGS on the subject, there's still a demand for information.



Here fishy, fishy, fish...

Read The Full Article:
http://bigslicknuts.blogspot.com/2006/05/for-those-that-say-poker-has-jumped.html


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Week in Review for 05.30.06

Fremont Street Experience is ready for summer. It's been a while since I've written one of these, so I might be a bit rusty. For some readers who haven't seen my Week in Review before it's a glance at...

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http://www.lasvegasvegas.com/pokerblog/archives/002765.php


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The Luck Conundrum

I've been thinking a lot about luck as of late. Poker has been fairly good to me. This is partially because of the luck inherent in the game. My 2nd place finish in the PSO blogger freeroll would have been impossible if I actually lost one of the first 8-10 hands when I pushed all-in preflop. If you recall, I actually sucked out on numerous occassions during that early run, beating AK with QJ and 35, and AQ with Q8, as well as a few other lucky hands.



At my most recent 5-Diamond home game, I asked the players what percentage of the game is luck and what percentage is skill. I got a variety of answers, with the high end being about 80% luck, and the low-end at about 20% luck. Overall, I think the concensus was 40% luck, 60% skill, with the "good" players in general agreement. But let's take a look at the full spectrum of possibilities and see what luck actually means in the big scheme of things.



The Rookie Optomist

When I first started playing poker, I thought luck was paramount. Many of you did as well. I heard the quotes, though, and knew that it wasn't all luck. Otherwise, you wouldn't be seeing the same players at the final table. But it was gambling, the same as craps or blackjack or slots. If I could get lucky, I could win, and win big, potentially.



You also see it all the time online at the lower stakes. Players will call your all-in preflop with QTd, upon the misguided belief that the two cards can make a royal straight flush, and are therefore worth their entire buy-in. These players place an undue amount of faith in luck, probably because it is all they have. And when they do hit, they often get paid big, because the wise players know that they should be mixing it up with Mr. QT.



So, what if this is the case? Is it all luck? It's a possibility, and one that I will go into a bit more as we move on. For now, just remember that this is the usual domain of low limit rookies, who still have no grasp of the nuances of the game.



The Skilled Optomist

Much like the Rookie Optomist, the Skilled Optomist sees poker in a way that fits their play. After learning the game from the ground up, the skilled optomist has seen that luck is a factor, but skill is what will consistently win money. The skilled optomist has read up on the game or has played enough to understand concepts like pot odds, implied odds, the importance of tools like check-raises and slowplays. In all of this, the skilled optomist has been reinforced into his beliefs by moneying in tournaments or winning at cash games.



With wins comes an inflated sense of, not just skill, but also the importance of skill. Oddly, however, some of these skilled optomists will pat themselves on the back for making a great call, only to have their donkey opponent suck out. At those moments, the skilled optomists damn luck. But they suck out on their opponents much less, often due to superior play, and therefore never get to sing luck's praises.



These general players believe luck is less than 50% of the game, and may even think it is as much as 60% of the game. But they are confident that, whatever luck determines in the short run, they will come out on top in the long run, because they have skill and skill beats luck.



I would suggest, hesitantly, that a great many poker bloggers are skilled optomists. I sure am/was. But I'm slowly creeping into the third category, which I think may be the most accurate.



The Skilled Pessimist

As stated, a skilled optomist thinks that his skill is so superior to luck that luck is really only 60% of the game at MOST, and more likely considerably less. The skilled pessimist has all of the skills of the optomist, and potentially a lot more skills. They also see things in a different light, where the edge between a skilled and unskilled player is a lot thinner than a skilled optomist would believe.



I don't think I can point to anyone who embodies this idea right off the bat, but you might be able to point to someone, especially if, as I'm assuming, they are probably posters on forums like 2+2. The general idea is this: Luck is a HUGE part of the game, to the point that even the most skilled player can only beat the game for a small amount relative to the blinds.



I've heard that a skilled Limit player should make about 1 big blind per hour. I'm sure some estimates go higher, maybe even to 3 BB/hr. No Limit will likely yield higher numbers, perhaps up to even 5 BB/hr. Now, I could honestly use some help with these numbers. Perhaps you can turn me onto an article or forum thread that addresses this directly. But from my understanding, 5 BB/hr is considered pretty damn good in NL play over the course of a career.



Going over these numbers is what led me to believe that maybe the Rookie Optomist is closer to the truth than the Skilled Optomist. Maybe the truth is that luck is 75% of the game, or even 90% of the game. That thin, thin edge that we get from our skills only nets us 1-5 BB per hour, and how could that possibly mean that skill accounts for 50% of the game. This becomes even more apparent when you consider that you may be playing at a table filled with skilled players. Suddenly, skill has been nullified, and luck plays an even larger role in how the game ends.



What is the answer? I think that it is definitely more luck than skill. Sorry, folks, but poker is a game of luck with skill components, as opposed to most other games like football, for instance, which is a game of skill with luck components (playing conditions, coin tosses for possession, injuries, and the like). Luck plays a larger role than many of us want to let on.



But, hey, I'm just thinking aloud. There may never be a way to actually quantify the luck/skill ratio in the game. But it is something worth thinking about. Drop your two cents in the comments. I'd love to see what some other players believe.

Read The Full Article:
http://highonpoker.blogspot.com/2006/05/luck-conundrum.html


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Sleeping the Night Away

I've never done drugs, but I think sleep is the new crystal meth. I had some serious sleeping this weekend in the mountains. Slept like a baby Friday night (8:00-8:00), took a nap Saturday for two hours, took a nap Sunday for three hours. It was just great to be slobbering all over myself through the day and night. I also read half of a book, In Cold Blood by Truman Capote. Books are really crazy, with all the words and pages and pages of more words. I'm not sure how readers can remember the names of people or where they are from and stuff. Books help you fall asleep, so that was another good thing.



No poker, but the weekend was great to get me away from everything, get my mind clear. I even wrote a short story which I may send to Truckin. I need to edit it and work it a bit, but it was pretty fun to do.



Congrats to a new buddy I'd just interviewed for Linda, Wild Bill. He took down the $2k Mandalay Bay tourney this weekend. Hey, maybe I should interview you and you can take down a big MTT!



Listened to a lot of The Police on the drive to the mountains. My Five Favorites in bold from the candidates:

Some great playing with the boys individually this weekend. The Little Guy is something to behold right now, chirping away with words, always smiling and laughing. He jumped into the lake about 373 times into my arms, and we'd just jump and swim around. He also would catch salamanders and put them in a bucket. The skin of salamanders must be some incredible natural wonder as he never killed one although he squeezed them continuously. The Big Guy and I played monkey in the middle with some other kids and a water football plus ping pong. At my peak I was a great ping pong player and can still beat most anyone. I took the Big Guy down left handed and two handed, although he's improving. Still gives away too many cheap points. We also hit the ball 127 consecutive times. All-In is his own guy, and he was comfortable entertaining the five year olds as well as hanging with the older boys. We had some special peaceful times together. Not sure how long he and the Big Guy will keep liking me, so I cherish each time.



There was demand for poker Saturday night but no chips and no game happened. My father-in-law banned poker at the end of last summer, and there are a few poor friends of my brother-in-law who like to play for small stakes. I like as I'm able to talk to people. We'll have to have chips for next time and head to someone else's house.



I'll end with Monday's Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon, here on Tuesday. We leave this blog to see where the links take us. Have a good day back.



Read The Full Article:
http://ccexplore.blogspot.com/2006/05/sleeping-night-away.html


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Remembering Charlie (One Year Later)

Being a poker blogger of such extremes, it is often that the positive things I write get overlooked, and the negatives get blown way out of proportion. I think that is probably human, and normal, for what that is worth.



I, myself, have a tendency to do this. I'll go to a blog which posts hand histories all the time, and over time, slowly, my mind will start to convince me that the blog is a "hand history" blog, and nothing more, even if that is far from the truth.



So sometimes it seems to others that my site is a ranting, raving, negative site. Oh, that part is true. Okay, let me change that. People assume that I never say anything positive. Never meaning 'not one time.' Which is obviously not true.



Some of the comments which stuck out in my mind that I received in the past week from e-mail, IM, and LJ, as well as on other poker blogs, are as follows:



"Is she the Queen of Blogging and decides what is worthy and by whom it should be

done?"




Um, no. I was mostly reprimanding myself for the stupid thoughts I was having regarding blogging things that I would suck at. And it also bites that people who blog live tourneys get paid so little, for so much work. I tried that shtick back in 2004 and it was not a great experience. The best of the best are treated like utter shite (no, I wasn't the best. I am thinking of Andy Glaser and Pauly here). TV uses and discards the other forms of media at a festival, without even so much as a reach around.



"Equating honesty with name calling is simply not correct. Being rude doesn't earn anyone a badge of "most honest," it just makes them rude."



The person I call the most names is myself. Yeah, maybe I have MPD, but I think I'm allowed to call myself a moron if I want. I am almost never as hard on anyone else as I am on myself.



Now, before I start sounding all Kumbaya and hugging trees, no, I am not a nice person. I am not trying to say, "Hey, I'm not nice, and you know what, admitting that makes it okay!" No, it doesn't make it okay. No, that doesn't excuse my behavior. I am out of line many times, and not just towards myself, but towards others. It doesn't make it okay that I admit it, it doesn't make it okay that I continue it, it doesn't it okay that I don't get a lobotomy and shock therapy, it in no way makes me a better person (that I don't try to hide it, that I admit it). I am not proud that I am unable to get along socially and be nicey-nice. It is not a badge of honor to be a hermit and an outcast. I am not proud of my inablity not to go ape whenever I shop for a new car and have to face these slick, lying, snake-oil salesmen.



I may attempt to explain my behavior, to over-explain what I said on my blog, and why I said it, but in no way do I feel that earns me a free pass. I am just as guilty as anyone else who refuses to shut their big, fat mouth. We gets lots of heats, we deserves what we gets.



"Felicia hasn?t said anything nice about anything or anyone since I started blogging!"



This guy almost got me. I was actually considering for a nano-second to go back through my 400 posts and point out all of the times I was complimentary. What a jokester. Then I realized that he just reads what he wants to read. Absolutes are dangerous. Words like always and never usually indicate that a person simply makes up something to see in between the lines, or that the part of their brain that could absorb something good simply refuses to see it. And then they start up with the "always" and "never" type absolutes.



But in honor of this new friend of mine (haha), I will go back full circle to the start of this post. Which is that to read what one wants to read, instead of what is actually being said, is human, and probably pretty darned normal.



While I am constantly praising certain sites (Two Plus Two), blogs, players, writers or posts, it tends to get overshadowed by my rants. Which is really too bad, because there are some people out there who deserve to be the center of attention on my site, instead of relegated to the back pages, since readers who want to find hate tend to find ONLY hate.



So this is a post dedicated to them, and I will point out some of them for you, so that you can see what utter awesomeness I am talking about.



Drizz and I like to poke fun at each other. It's weird, because if people are born with handicaps, or develop them later, society at large tends to think the PC thing is to just ignore it. Don't speak about it, don't ask about it, and certainly don't make fun of it. Then, some of those same people have a gimp-fest in their own homes, making fun of the handicapped in private, where they won't get burned at the stake.



I tend to be pretty public about my deformities. Some are on the inside (no stomach, no right kidney, etc) and the obvious one on the outside (no boobs). Drizz is also candid, and likes the teasing if the person is for real, and not secretly trying to put him down. That dude is as screwed up as I am, and we both like to laugh about it, so please make fun of us in public, or do some parodies on your blog, because we both tend to laugh at handicaps. See his most recent, hilarious post. I love you, Dave, you're the best!

-------------------------------------

A newbie on the scene, she tends to come off a lot like me. I dearly hope to God she is just developing her style, and not really as screwed up as I am.



Today she had a great post about the mind trick we all must learn when gambling..."chips" aren't money. They are ammunition, bullets for our trade.



Unfortunately, she must have gotten some really horrible comments, because she disabled commenting. I hear ya, been there, gotten the worst!

-------------------------------------

Mason is my friend. Mason and I are a lot alike in some respects. The things I love about him, also drive me batty. He is a lot like Glenn in the math-is-anal department. But I love Glenn and wouldn't change him for the world. Ditto with Mason.



Actually, Mason, David, Ray and Dr. Al have all be hugely supportive of me for years. I love all of them. I also love hundreds of posters on Two Plus Two. Yeah, LOVE is a big word for me. I don't throw it around often, but today I'm feeling generous. There are many psychologists and psychiatrists on Two Plus Two who genuinely go around trying to help people on the forum. They give, give, give and never stop.



Like any other thing in life, you have to take the bad with the good (oh, jeez, here we go again with "you." By "you" I mean me and/or we. Please don't write me hate mail accusing me of telling you how you have to read Two Plus Two, lol).



Two Plus Two is like family to me. Sure, just like in real life and in the blogosphere, most people hate me there. It is natural, I think. Very few people like a ball's-out person.

-------------------------------------

Some of the original poker bloggers are my friends, heroes and human being I aspire to be. Eva is fantastic. She truly remembers the good as well as the bad. She is the only person who is still thanking me years later for giving her some tips on Stud games (Stud, Stud 8, Razz) and O8. Jeez, all I said was that a pair of nines are no good in O8 ;)

-------------------------------------

My best friends in poker are the top tourney players. You may not have seen them all on TV, most of them couldn't care less if they made the TV table, they just want to win. For them, poker is a job, and naturally the more times you hit the final table, the more successful you are, in general.



As if I needed to explain myself further, why these guys are my heroes, on top of everything else, they are wonderful, giving human beings.



New readers may not understand the link I have with them, so I'll provide a little hint to something that happened last year.



What they did for the life of an unknown, low-limit player during his last two weeks was something I have never experienced before. Many people who are around natural (or non-natural) disasters have gone through this type of heroism. I hadn't gone through anything like this until last summer. The extremes that these players went through for a man named Charlie were extraordinary, given the pressures of the World Series of Poker and playing 12-20 hours of straight poker per day, just to get by.



The top players aren't my friends because they are "on TV" or "famous." I couldn't care less about that type of celebrity. They are my friends because they treat me as a peer and went to huge efforts last year in order to comfort someone they didn't even know.



I love you, guys.

-------------------------------------

Glenn is obviously my biggest hero. He puts up with my obtuseness every, single day. He barely ever complains. Of course, growing up with a nazi mother probably prepared him for the hell which is Felicia, but still, he is a kind, generous, loving man.



Felicia :)

Read The Full Article:
http://felicialee.blogspot.com/2006/05/remembering-charlie-one-year-later.html


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How Can Three Days Disappear So Quickly

Nothing like a nice, long holiday weekend, filled with much good food and good times, to make me happy and eager to get back to the day job, sitting here, aimlessly typing away. Or, you know, as the kids would say, not...



Got in a goodly bit of poker, including a couple of decent MTT scores, cashing for a little over $1,000 combined. Also final tabled two more Bracelet Races but couldn't finish the deal, going out 7th in one and 9th in the other. I tend to badmouth my mad MTT skillz in general but I feel like I'm playing pretty well of late, especially given the limited number of chances I get to play them these days, due to that whole staying perpetually insanely busy thing.



Cash games are still rocking along nicely. I got sucked into propping for a new site, largely due to the fact that they're paying up to 140% rakeback, and it's rolling along decently so far. They haven't had anything bigger than 5/10 running so far and the software isn't my favorite, but it's hard to beat 140% rakeback. It's currently almost all props playing, which isn't really optimal as many rock up, just trying to make money via the prop payments, but it's usually not too hard to bash your way to a profitable session.



Catching up on old episodes of High Stakes Poker and finally saw the episode where Phil Hellmuth drops in, to the delight of everyone. While it was pretty funny to see Phil's face fall a nano second after gleefully insta-shoving his remaining chips in with top two pair, only to see Barry flip over a set of queens, he did run into some pretty evil circumstances, and managed to pick the worst spots to try to bluff with junk. And general jackass or not, Antonio Esfandiari made some really nice reads and laydowns, especially getting away from AA on the river when Barry flopped two pair with KQ.



The boom/bust nature of the freelance world is an odd one. I managed to go from no work in the near future to gobs of work spilling out of my mnkey ears, all in the span of about fifteen minutes.

Read The Full Article:
http://suckout.blogspot.com/2006/05/how-can-three-days-disappear-so.html


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Weekend Roundup & You Decide #34

Man am I tired. I hit the sack at 12am last night and woke up at 7 today. It's nothing particularly new, except for arriving at work an hour early, rather than the usual 1/2 hour. BUT, a long weekend in the sun and poker trenches can take a lot out of a man.



By now, if you've scrolled down, you know that I played in SoxLover's homegame on Friday night. It was a successful night, to the tune of $201 profit. It seemed like the very next night, I went out of my way to lose a big chunk of that change.



For the life of me, I can't remember rightly what wifey Kim and I did on Saturday night. Ah yes. We saw Dave Roose's band, Giant Step, at Kenny's Castaways in NYC. The band did a great job, and I was proud to see my partner in crime on the stage doing his thing. When I got home, in a drunken state, I looked online and jumped into a series of debacles, including a $40 PLO8 MTT, easily the highest buy-in I've ever played online. Great idea when you are drunk and tired. After that night, I lost a good $75.



Last night was DADI 6: Pot Limit, and while numbers were down (I'm blaming it on the holiday and not my own obvious inadequacies), the crowd was roaring. Unfortunately, after taking a quick lead (as per usual), I donked out closer to last place than first (as per usual). I have yet to hit my stride in these blogger games, mostly because of my lack of effort and focus. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying I could clean up if I just paid more attention. I'm just saying that I can't blame anyone else if I, myself, am not playing optimally. On that note, congratulations to Hoyazo, who won the damn thing, continuing his winning ways. And congratulations to CMitch, who followed up his WSOP Main Event seat win with a 2nd place in a large buy-in tourney netting him a bucket load of cash.



I did, however, play a $1 6-person SNG with BloodyP without looking at my cards. I busted one player when I pushed all-in on a ragged flop, he called with top pair, and I went runner runner straight. Now, remember, I couldn't see my cards. I had covered up that part of the screen in an effort to work on playing the players and working position. Well, on that fateful hand, I had 2d7d, the Suited Hammer! Fate is a beautiful thing. Once we were down to 3 players, I noticed a flaw in my test: BloodyP. Since he knew what I was doing and there were so few players in the tournament, he could raise and call me with impunity. Once I saw the flaw in the system, I uncovered my cards, and proceeded to go on a tear, winning the thing after going heads up with BloodyP (and sucking out on the last hand, no less). I'll have to try the experiment again sometime without a cohort at the table.



I also won a huge hand in .50/1 NL on PokerShare. I've been consistently winning on their site, taking slides here and there, but always recovering. As a result of the hand, my losses for last night and the night before were covered. So overall, it was a $200 weekend. My tournaments (both MTTs and SNGs) have suffered, my cash game is still king, and my live game is better than ever. I may even make an appearance at Genoa Club this week, with my new bankroll and newer confidence. So, I'll leave you with the hand where I won back all of my weekend losses. In fact, let's make it a You Decide:



You Decide #34



Let's start you out with some nice cards, say AA, for instance. Now, let's put you in MP at a .50/1 NL table with a stack of roughly $95, in the middle of the pack as far as chip stacks go. You haven't been paying too much attention to the table, but you do know that the action is sometimes loose, especially if a player falls in love with their hand, which seems to happen a lot.



A player in EP raises from $1 to $3. It folds to you. You raise from $3 to $9. Everyone folds around to the original raiser, who calls. The flop is Jc8c8s. It is checked to you. The pot is $19.50. You bet $12. You are re-raised to $33. You push all-in, for a re-raise of about $40. Your opponent calls.



The turn and the river come, and they are both blanks. You show your AA and your opponent shows KK.



Clearly, you won all of his chips, so you can't complain about the results. But is there anything in there that could have been done better? Surely it wouldn't increase profits unless you could've kept another player in the hand AND still won the hand. So, feedback please. This may've just been one of those situations when luck came through, not only receiving AA, but giving your opponent KK. But I don't think it's just that...



Read The Full Article:
http://highonpoker.blogspot.com/2006/05/weekend-roundup-you-decide-34.html


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Moving On Up

Welcome to my new digs!



After about a year I decided to give the place a bit of a face lift, as I was getting tired of the old template. It's still a work in progress, but I like it.



Pretty good weekend of poker, winning $245 over various limits and sites. It wasn't a nice straight upward curve, though. After I got hammered last Thursday at the Paradise $2/4 LHE tables for about $122, I won back $110 of that on Friday at the same tables.



On my way back, right? Well, not so fast. I started off badly on Saturday and lost $100 back at those same Paradise $2/4 tables. I'm more than responsible for that result and I just played badly, causing around 1/2 of that loss due to my own mistakes. I was ticked off at myself and shut it down for a while to regroup and think about why I had played so poorly.



What I think is that after playing at $2/4 and winning consistently for over 70,000 hands, I have found that I am getting a bit bored at times. I think I need to play at higher limits more frequently than I have. Play at stakes high enough where it would hurt a little bit more if I don't play well.



Yes, you should always play as well as you can, no matter if it is for pennies or for stacks of $100 bills. But when you are overbankrolled for the stakes you are playing, I do think on occasion that it can affect how you play. Sometimes it is trying to steamroll an opponent or two, other times it is paying off another opponent when you know you are beaten (and it only costs a few more bucks). I have been guilty of both here of late.



I decided to jump back in and play at the Paradise $3/6 and $5/10 LHE tables, where I was able to find average pot sizes over 7BBs and %seeing the flop in the mid-to-high 30s. I ended up doing well, playing around 300 hands on Saturday afternoon, walking away with a $135 profit ($90 at $5/10 and $45 at $3/6).



On Sunday and Monday, I decided to spend some time at Doyle's Room and won another $100 at their $1/2 through $3/6 tables. I have a big $550 bonus plus 25% rakeback sitting there, so I'm looking at over a $1K payoff when rakeback is factored in once the $550 bonus gets worked off. It will probably take a while, though.



If you are vastly overbankrolled at the limit you play, consider playing higher at least part of the time. It will keep you from getting bored and will keep your skills sharper. I'll still play some $2/4, but I will spend more time looking for good games and will play higher if I can find them.



And if you are concerned that the players at higher limits are much, much better, well, there are plenty of fish to be found. I present Exhibit A:



Paradise Poker

Limit Holdem Ring game

Limit: $5/$10

10 players

Converter



Pre-flop: (10 players) Michael is MP2 with [A? A?]

3 folds, Michael raises, MP3 3-bets, 3 folds, BB calls, Michael caps, MP3 calls, BB calls.



Flop: [8? 4? 4?] (12.4SB, 4 players)

BB checks, Michael bets, MP3 calls, BB calls.



Turn: [K?] (7.7BB, 4 players)

BB checks, Michael bets, MP3 calls.



River: [6?] (9.7BB, 3 players)

Michael bets, MP3 calls.



Results:

Final pot: 11.7BB



MP3 had [9? 9?]







Online Poker

I have registered to play in the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker!

This Online Poker Tournament is a No Limit Texas Holdem event exclusive to Bloggers.

Registration code: 7330476



Read The Full Article:
http://countingmyouts.blogspot.com/2006/05/moving-on-up.html


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Poker Blogging, Free Stuff plus the Nines

The Forum Shops at Caesars Palace. I've become accustom to receiving and filling requests for photos of poker tournaments, players, Las Vegas, whatever...providing I have the time. I locate, prepare and send off many of these requests at no...

Read The Full Article:
http://www.lasvegasvegas.com/pokerblog/archives/002762.php


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